China Enters the Economic Doom-Loop

China is going pear-shaped as Beijing panics and wheels out the โ€œmonetary bazooka.โ€

Cue the Worldwide inflation.

Just a few weeks ago I did a video about how China is on the edge of recession. Weeks later, the edge of recession has now progressed to a full-blown Chinese fire drill.

So What Happened?

Last week, Chinaโ€™s ruling Politburo held an emergency economic meeting and decided to crank up the money printers to 11, pumping money to consumers, to banks, to property developers, basically to anybody who might spend it.

Bloomberg called it an โ€œadrenaline shot,โ€ as in itโ€™ll pump assets but wonโ€™t last long.

Specifically, Beijingโ€™s going to dump about 3.8 trillion yuanโ€”roughly half a trillion dollarsโ€”to keep the economy running.

A trillion yuan goes to consumer subsidies, including a hundred twenty U.S. per month child subsidyโ€”a hundred twentyโ€™s big in Chinaโ€”to bribe Chinese mothers into having more kids, which theyโ€™ve stopped doing.

Mounting Pressure
Mounting Pressure (Source: Peter St Onge)

Next up are the banksโ€”as alwaysโ€”who get a cool hundred and forty billion U.S. along with another 100 billion dumped into stock markets.

Allegedly this is all to spur spendingโ€”as in the banks lend the money out and the stockholders feel richโ€”but it would do wonders for the gaping holes in Chinaโ€™s teetering financial industry.

Beyond the Money Dump

Beyond the money dump, Chinaโ€™s slashing interest rates across the boardโ€”which governments do to try and gin up some tissue-fire growth.

Theyโ€™re slashing downpayment requirements on houses, opening a special credit facility so banks and hedge funds can gamble on stocks, and cutting the reserve requirements for banksโ€”meaning banks can raid their vaults and go on a lending spree.

Put it together, and Beijingโ€™s doing everything it can to get money out in the wild, down to bankrolling gamblers and pouring yet more trillions down the black hole of Chinaโ€™s comically over-built housing market.

You may have seen the ghost towns Chinaโ€™s built; here comes round two.

Theyโ€™re slashing downpayment requirements on houses, opening a special credit facility so banks and hedge funds can gamble on stocks, and cutting the reserve requirements for banksโ€”meaning banks can raid their vaults and go on a lending spree.

Put it together, and Beijingโ€™s doing everything it can to get money out in the wild, down to bankrolling gamblers and pouring yet more trillions down the black hole of Chinaโ€™s comically over-built housing market.

You may have seen the ghost towns Chinaโ€™s built; here comes round two.

Byย Peter St Onge

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