After Trump Verdict, Swing State Poll Shows How It Impacts Voters’ Decisions

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A recent poll in Georgia shows that voters still favor the former president.

Days after former President Donald Trump was found guilty by a Manhattan jury, a poll in a 2024 battleground state shows that voters still favor the former president.

In a Quinnipiac University poll conducted between May 30 to June 5, the former president had a 5-point edge over President Joe Biden in Georgia. About 49 percent backed President Trump, compared with 44 percent who supported President Biden in the Peach State.

The former president was found guilty of falsifying business records on May 30 after a roughly six-week trial in New York City. The Quinnipiac survey was the first to poll voters in a swing state after the verdict was handed down.

Pollsters found that about 94 percent of Republicans back President Trump in the state, while 93 percent of Democrats back President Biden. Independents were split between the two, with 45 percent supporting both, it found.

In a hypothetical matchup that includes independent candidate Robert F. Kennedy Jr., independent candidate Cornell West, Libertarian Party candidate Chase Oliver, and Green Party candidate Jill Stein, President Trump’s support over President Biden will grow by 1 percentage point, according to Quinnipiac.

“Trump takes a narrow lead in the head-to-head horse race against Biden. Put four other ‘horses’ on the track, including the new Libertarian candidate, and he inches further ahead,” Quinnipiac University polling analyst Tim Malloy said in a news release. It’s not clear why Mr. Malloy would refer to a 5-point lead as “narrow.”

Mr. Kennedy garnered about 10 percent of Democrats’ support in the six-person contest, while he only 5 percent of Republicans’ support in such a matchup, it found.

Georgia can be considered a critical state in the November election, as election officials declared President Biden the victor in 2020. But President Trump won the Peach State during the 2016 contest.

The state currently has two Democrat U.S. senators, Jon Ossoff and Raphael Warnock, and a Republican governor, Brian Kemp.

By Jack Phillips

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