Republican Senators to Watch as Upper Chamber Mulls the Big Beautiful Bill

The Houseโ€™s bill in its current form has faced skepticism from several key players in the Senate, and senators say it would fail if brought to the floor as is.

Following its passage by the House of Representatives, the One Big Beautiful Bill Act (OBBB)โ€”the budget reconciliation package aimed at implementing President Donald Trumpโ€™s agendaโ€”is facing scrutiny in the Senate.

Several concerns regarding the House-passed packageโ€”including its potential impact on the deficit, its increase to the debt ceiling, and othersโ€”remain. The Senate is expected to make substantial changes to the Houseโ€™s version of the bill, leaving the ultimate shape of the package uncertain.

Because the legislation is being considered under the reconciliation process, Senate Majority Leader John Thune (R-S.D.) will only need a simple majority to pass the final version he brings to the floor. That means he can spare no more than three defections in his 53-seat conference.

However, as it stands, the Houseโ€™s bill has faced skepticism from several key players in the Senate, and senators say it would fail if brought to the floor in its current form.

โ€œI think there are four of us at this point,โ€ Sen. Rand Paul said during a June 1 appearance on CBS Newsโ€™ โ€œFace the Nationโ€ when asked by anchor Margaret Brennan whether other senators shared his objections to the bill.

Sen. Ron Johnson (R-Wis.), another critic, has said the same.

Here are the senators to watch as the process moves forward.

Sen. Rand PaulSenator Ron Johnson
Senators Murkowski, Tillis, CurtisSenators Hawley, Collins

Paul

Sen. Rand Paul (R-Ky.), a longtime budget hawk, has been outspoken in his opposition to the legislation in its current state.

Paul said his primary issues with the current bill are its provisions to raise the debt ceiling by $5 trillionโ€”the planned Senate modification to the Houseโ€™s proposed $4 trillion increase.

โ€œIโ€™ve told them, if you take the debt ceiling off the bill, in all likelihood, I can vote for whatever the agreement is on the rest of the bill,โ€ Paul said.

He added in a post on social media platform X, โ€œIโ€™m all for making Trumpโ€™s tax cuts permanent, but not if we keep spending like drunken sailors. The House GOP budget doesnโ€™t go nearly far enough. We need real cuts, real reform, and real courage to fix this debt crisis.โ€

He also told CBSโ€™s โ€œFace the Nationโ€ that he stands with four Republicans in opposition to the bill without changes.

โ€œI would be very surprised if the bill at least is not modified in a good direction,โ€ he said.

Johnson

Johnson has been one of the staunchest opponents of the legislation in its current state in the upper chamber, insisting that Republicans must use this moment to change course on the deficit.

โ€œThis is our moment: We have faced an unprecedented moment of increased spendingโ€”58 percentโ€”since 2019. … This is our only chance to reset that to reasonable, pre-pandemic spending,โ€ Johnson previously told CNN.

During a June 1 appearance on โ€œSunday Morning Futures,โ€ Johnson said that he also had reservations about the debt ceiling increase, saying he would prefer a one-year extension rather than a blanket cash amount increase.

He pointed out that the United States was on track for a deficit of as much as $2.2 trillion.

โ€œThatโ€™s completely unsustainable,โ€ Johnson said.

Byย Joseph Lord

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