Under Trump, Will Keystone XL Remain a Pipe Dream?

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A simple straight line between supply and demand illustrates why XL wasโ€”and isโ€”needed, says one expert.

President-elect Donald Trump has vowed to issue a day-one executive order to restore federal approvals for the proposed Keystone XL Pipeline, similar to his January 2017 directive overturning the Obama administrationโ€™s 2015 rejection of the same project.

Trumpโ€™s first-term Keystone restoration was reversed by President Joe Biden in a January 2021 executive order, again halting development of the 1,180-mile pipeline between Alberta, Canada, and Steele City, Nebraska.

While Trump 2.0 could nullify Bidenโ€™s directive in a pen stroke on Jan. 20, 2025, he wonโ€™t be able to resurrect Keystone XL because the project no longer exists.

โ€œMy understanding is the company has pulled the steel out of the ground and shipped it elsewhere and found alternative routes to get its product to market,โ€ said Brett Hartl, government affairs director for the Center for Biological Diversity.

โ€œThat would make it hard for Trump to approve an application that doesnโ€™t exist,โ€ he told The Epoch Times.

โ€œLike most black-and-white stories, itโ€™s a bit more complicated than that,โ€ senior market analyst Phil Flynn with Chicago-based Price Futures Group told The Epoch Times.

But a simple straight line between supply and demand illustrates why XL wasโ€”and isโ€”needed, he said.

โ€œWhether or not this pipeline gets built, there will be another pipeline along the same route, just itโ€™s not called โ€˜Keystone,โ€™โ€ Flynn said.

Toronto commodity analyst Rory Johnston, founder of CommodityContext.com, said a lot of things had changed since 2021 when โ€œthey had all the pipes in place in many places, like on-site, waiting to be installed.โ€

โ€œNow itโ€™s a zombie pipeline. What is dead can never die,โ€ he told The Epoch Times.

Calgary-based TC Energyโ€™s Keystone XL Pipeline 2008 proposal sought to add a 30-inch diameter line traversing 1,179 miles from Hardisty, Alberta, to Steele City, Nebraska, to its existing 3,000-mile Keystone pipeline network.

The XL pipeline would add 800,000 barrels per day (bpd) to TC Energyโ€™s existing Keystone network, including up to 730,000 bpd of tar sand crude oil from Canada and 100,000 bpd from North Dakotaโ€™s Bakken Formation.

Byย John Haughey

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