Biggest Geopolitical Change Comes From China Not Russia, Blair Warns

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The biggest geopolitical change is coming from China rather than Russia, as the Chinese regime seeks to compete against the Western political system and way of life, former British Prime Minister Tony Blair has warned.

Delivering the annual lecture of the Ditchley Foundation, which primarily focuses on Britishโ€“American relations, on July 16, Blair issued a rallying call to Western nations to come together to develop a coherent strategy to counter the rise of China as โ€œthe worldโ€™s second superpower.โ€

Despite the Russian invasion of Ukraine, he said, โ€œthe biggest geopolitical change of this century will come from China not Russia.โ€

โ€˜Wholly Different Levelโ€™

Despite Russiaโ€™s โ€œsignificant military might,โ€ Blair said, the countryโ€™s economy is โ€œ70 percent the size of Italyโ€™s.โ€

In comparison, he said, the power of China is โ€œon a wholly different level,โ€ with 1.3 billion people and an economy that is โ€œclose to parity with that of the USA.โ€

He added, โ€œOver the past two decades, it has pursued an active and successful engagement with the world, building connections in respect of which, as I can witness, there is deep reluctance, even on the part of traditional American allies, to yield up.โ€

In addition, he said, โ€œChina has now caught up America in many fields of technology and could surpass it in others.โ€

โ€˜Competing for Influenceโ€™

The former prime minister warned that the Chinese Communist Party (CCP) leader Xi Jinping has made no secret of his ambition to invade Taiwan.

He said Russian President Vladimir Putinโ€™s โ€œbrutal and unjustifiedโ€ invasion of Ukraine showed the West can no longer automatically expect major world powers to abide by accepted international norms.

โ€œAs a result of the actions of Putin, we cannot rely on the Chinese leadership to behave in the way we would consider rational,โ€ said Blair.

โ€œAnd even leaving to the side Taiwan, the reality is China under Xiโ€™s leadership is competing for influence and doing so aggressively,โ€ he said, adding that Beijing would compete โ€œnot just for power but against our system, our way of governing and living.โ€

Byย Alexander Zhang

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