Chart of the Day: A Look at the Ukrainian Conflict Through a Geopolitical Matrix

Contact Your Elected Officials

The Ukrainian war, which began in 2014, has been a long and bloody conflict between Ukraine and Russia, with the annexation of Crimea being the starting point of the conflict. The war has resulted in the loss of thousands of lives and has caused significant economic and political turmoil in the region. There are two distinct potential strategies that Ukraine and the West could pursue to end the war โ€“ negotiating with Russia or defeating Russia and Putin. Both strategies come with significant risks.

The first strategy is to negotiate with Russia to end the war. This approach requires Ukraine to engage in diplomatic negotiations with Russia and reach a peaceful settlement that both sides can agree upon. This strategy has the potential to bring an end to the conflict without further loss of life and reduce economic and political turmoil in the region. However, the risk is that Russia may not be willing to negotiate, or Ukraine may have to make significant concessions to achieve a settlement, which may not be in the best interests of Ukraine.

The second strategy is to defeat Russia and Putin. This approach requires Ukraine to continue its military offensive against Russia and attempt to force Russia to withdraw its troops from Ukraine. This strategy has the potential to give Ukraine control over its territory and to ensure its sovereignty. However, the risk is that this strategy could lead to a larger conflict involving other countries and possibly result in a global nuclear conflict.

Which strategy would be best for the US and the Western world?

Few are talking about the decline of the dollar as the worldโ€™s reserve currency nor the costs of the Ukrainian conflict in terms of its geopolitical results โ€“ but maybe we should. People are instead talking about how many Nazis are involved, spinning historical facts, eyeing potential resource gains, how effective sanctions are, isolationist strategies, or defending โ€œdemocracy from an invading neighbor. Perhaps none of these issues really matter.

What about the geopolitical results regardless of these details? Below is an interesting โ€œGeopolitical Matrixโ€ postulated by Academy Securities when thinking about โ€œwho needs who.โ€ It is simplistic and not at all rigorous in terms of underlying data, but probably good enough to illustrate what possible outcomes could occur.

โ€œGeopolitical Matrixโ€ has on its โ€œX-axisโ€ the names of the major players on the geopolitical stage. The โ€œYโ€™axisโ€ has the playerโ€™s needs in terms of food, raw material resources, and finished goods markets. There are four levels of strengths (small and large green checkmarks) vs. weakness (small and large red โ€œXโ€) at the point of intersection of these two axes. The โ€œGeopolitical Matrixโ€ has been filled in with the authorโ€™s beliefs of the strengths and weaknesses of the players.

The โ€œGeopolitical Matrixโ€ analysis.

Anywhere you have a large โ€œgreen checkmarkโ€ in one country and a corresponding โ€œlarge red Xโ€ in another, there should be the possibility of doing business and could be natural allies โ€“ the inverse would also be true with inverse outcomes. Notice that wherever Russia has a โ€œlarge red X,โ€ China has a โ€œlarge green checkmark,โ€ and vice versa. This is mostly true between India and Russia as well โ€“ this could also include other BRIC nations. The EU has little effect either way, though it follows the US in terms of its strengths and weakness.

This simple analysis of this โ€œGeopolitical Matrixโ€ shows where the breakdown of the eventual outcomes will lie. Simply put, it is the West (the US and the EU) against the BRIC nations. The US could be strong enough to go it alone, compared to the EU. Hence, the EU is the odd man out and may have to switch sides if the US ever decides to go it alone. Based on this โ€œGeopolitical Matrixโ€ thinking, the following could be news events that may play out over the next several months.

  • A Ukrainian peace plan could emerge, or China will enter the conflict as an arms supplier to Russia โ€“ especially if the West continues pouring more military resources into Ukraine. Something the US has warned China about โ€“ see here โ€“ and would be a major escalation of the conflict.
  • If the US (and the West) are successful in defanging Russia and Putin and then replacing Putin with a pro-Western leader in Moscow โ€“ this would also lead to a potential, even nuclear, flash point. China will not allow itself to stand alone (with BRIC support) against the US and let Russia be defeated without a fight.

Perhaps this โ€œGeopolitical Matrixโ€ is too simplistic, but we will see if these natural strengths and weaknesses of the players in the Ukrainian conflict play out when we watch the news events unfold over the next few months. Give us your take on any alternative ideas in the comment section below.

By Tom Williams

Right Wire Report
Right Wire Reporthttps://rightwirereport.com/
Right Wire Report was a group of concerned citizens who took action to promote traditional values and work for a better America.

Now Lawyers Are Looking for the Epstein List, Too!

So it turns out that when FBI Director Kash...

Remember Epsteinโ€™s โ€œLittle Black Booksโ€?

Image of Bill Clinton getting a massage from Jeffrey...

On the Major Leagueโ€™s periphery: A major trip through the minors

For Nick Dunn, the trek through the minors is a trifecta of physical, mental, and organizational hurdles filled with politics, roster volatility, and injuries.

Private Citizens are Now Looking into Epstein Client List

Most Americans have never felt so betrayed and confused by a president and his admin as they are by the Trump admin over the Epstein client list issue.

Peace In Ukraine Wonโ€™t End The Westโ€™s Hybrid War On Russia

The Westโ€™s Hybrid War on Russia to follow peace in Ukraine is inevitable due to neoconservatives and liberal-globalists in its decision-making ecosystem.

Hackers Target Appleโ€™s Mac Users With New Malware Hidden in Popular Apps

MacOS malware, ZuRu is targeting Apple users, embedding malicious code and a hacking tool into popular utilities used for remote connections and server management.

Fetterman Backs ICE, Calls Abolition Push โ€˜Outrageousโ€™

Sen. Fetterman voiced support for ICE, calling demands to dismantle the agency โ€œinappropriate and outrageous.โ€

DOJ Shuts Down Investigation on T-Mobile-UScellular Merger

DOJ no longer opposes the merger of T-Mobile and UScellular and has closed its investigation into the matter, the department said in a July 10 statement.

Trump Visits Central Texas, Epicenter of Catastrophic Flood That Killed More Than 120

President Trump landed in Central Texas for first-hand look at damage from devastating flood claiming the lives of more than 120 people statewide.

State Department Says Reorganization Plan to Move Ahead Quickly After Supreme Court Ruling

State Dept to reorganize plans following Supreme Court's allowing Trump admin to proceed with layoffs of fed workers and overhaul of federal agencies.

Trump Says US Has Struck Deal With NATO to Supply Weapons to Ukraine

President Donald Trump said on July 10 that he has struck a new deal with NATO under which the United States will supply weapons to Ukraine

RFK Jr. Bans Illegal Immigrants From Government-Funded Programs

HHS Sec. Robert F. Kennedy Jr. is rescinding a 1998 interpretation of a law that allowed illegal immigrants to access certain government-funded programs.

Rubio Set to Visit Malaysia for ASEAN Meetings Amid Tariff Tensions

A delegation including U.S. Sec. of State Marco Rubio will travel to Kuala Lumpur, Malaysia, for series of high-profile meetings between July 11 and 12.
spot_img

Related Articles