The razor-thin outcome of last year’s Arizona gubernatorial election has made most voters in the state suspicious of the result.
A new telephone and online survey by Rasmussen Reports and College Republicans United finds that 55% of Likely Arizona Voters believe it is likely that problems with the 2022 election in Maricopa County affected the outcome, including 35% who think it’s Very Likely.
Forty percent (40%) say it’s not likely that the problems in Maricopa County affected the election outcome, including 29% who believe it is Not At All Likely. (To see survey question wording, click here.)
Republican candidate Kari Lake officially lost to Democratic Gov. Katie Hobbs by a margin of about 17,000 of more than 2.5 million votes cast. Lake filed a lawsuit challenging the result, and the state Supreme Court will hear her appeal next week.
Of the 92% of Arizona voters who say they voted in the 2022 election, the new survey found 51% voted for Lake and 43% voted for Hobbs, while five percent (5%) say they voted for some other candidate.
“This survey of actual Arizona voters, with a 3% margin of error, indicates that 8% more of them voted for Lake than voted for Katie Hobbs,” said Richard Thomas, National Chairman of Republicans United.
“That’s almost three times the poll margin of error. This raises serious questions about the certified ballot totals in light of the host of reported procedural irregularities.”
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The survey of 1,001 Arizona Likely Voters was conducted on March 13-14, 2023 by Rasmussen Reports and College Republicans United. The margin of sampling error is +/- 3 percentage points with a 95% level of confidence. Field work for all Rasmussen Reports surveys is conducted by Pulse Opinion Research, LLC. See methodology.