US Homicide Rate Plummets to 125-Year Low, Group Reports

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Carjacking and shoplifting have come down significantly in the country.

Crime rates continued to fall in 2025, with homicide rates expected to drop to about 4.0 per 100,000 residents, “the lowest rate recorded in law enforcement or public health data going back to 1900,” according to a new report published by the Council on Criminal Justice (CCJ) on Jan. 22.

Based on an analysis of crime trends in 40 large American cities, homicides are down 21 percent from 2024, and 44 percent from the recent peak of 2021, the CCJ said. Last year’s decline in criminal activity numbers would “mark the largest single-year percentage drop in the homicide rate on record,” the group said. The complete 2025 numbers will be reported by the FBI later this year.

“This monumental turnaround is a direct result of President Trump’s unwavering commitment to Make America Safe Again,” said the White House in a statement, touting the numbers as a result of closing the border, deploying a “whole-of-government offensive,” and bringing back order on American streets.

Meanwhile, the decline in homicide has been ongoing. “Over the past eight years,” a CCJ analysis found, “the highest average homicide rate was in 2021—18.6 per 100,000. The 2025 rate (10.4) was 44 percent below that peak.”

Eleven out of the 13 offences covered in the Jan. 22 report saw a decline in 2025 from the prior year, with nine of the offenses falling 10 percent or more. CCJ noted that drug crimes increased during this period by 7 percent, while sexual assaults remained even.

After peaking during the pandemic, carjacking and shoplifting have come down significantly in the country. Reported carjacking has declined 61 percent since 2023, while shoplifting is down 10 percent from 2024.

“This is what happens when you have a president who fully mobilizes federal law enforcement to arrest violent criminals and the worst of the worst illegal aliens,” press secretary Karoline Leavitt said in a post on X. “Promise Made. Promise Kept.”

Since President Donald Trump assumed office last year, the administration has instituted strict law enforcement measures across the country, which include arresting and deporting illegal immigrant criminals, strengthening enforcement against gangs and transnational cartels, disrupting drug trafficking, and securing the southern border.

On Jan. 16, the Customs and Border Protection agency announced zero parole releases along the southwest border in December 2025, compared with 7,041 releases under the prior administration in December 2024. This is the eighth consecutive month of zero releases.

By Naveen Athrappully

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